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0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2+ Median time to PCR- -22% Improvement Relative Risk c19hcq.com/choi.html Favors HCQ Favors control
27 October 2020 - Late treatment study
Comparison of antiviral effect for mild-to-moderate COVID-19 cases between lopinavir/ritonavir versus hydroxychloroquine: A nationwide propensity score-matched cohort study
Choi et al., International Journal of Infectious Diseases, doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2020.10.062 (Peer Reviewed)
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Health insurance database analysis failing to adjust for disease severity and not finding a significant difference in time to PCR- for LPV/r and HCQ.
There are large differences in severity across groups. Authors did PSM but chose not to prioritize severity, resulting in incomparable groups, e.g., baseline pneumonia of 44% in the HCQ group and 15% in the control group (after PSM).
Authors note this but offer no explanation for not correcting for severity: "However, the disease severity and proportion of accompanying pneumonia were still significantly higher in the LPV/r and HCQ-group".
median time to PCR-, 22.0% higher, relative time 1.22, p < 0.001, treatment 701, control 701.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes.
This study is excluded in the after exclusion results of meta analysis: excessive unadjusted differences between groups.
Choi et al., 10/27/2020, retrospective, database analysis, South Korea, Asia, peer-reviewed, 8 authors.
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