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HCQ study #192 of 280
11/12 Early treatment study
Simova et al., New Microbes and New Infections, doi:10.1016/j.nmni.2020.100813 (Peer Reviewed)
Hydroxychloroquine for prophylaxis and treatment of COVID-19 in health care workers
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100% reduction in hospitalization and cases with early treatment using HCQ+AZ+zinc. Brief report on healthcare workers in Bulgaria.
0 hospitalizations with treatment vs. 2 for control
0 PCR+ at day 14 with treatment vs. 3 for control
33 treatment patients and 5 control patients.
No serious adverse events. This paper reports on both PEP and early treatment, we have separated the two studies.

Simova et al., 11/12/2020, retrospective, Bulgaria, Europe, peer-reviewed, 5 authors, dosage 200mg tid days 1-14.
risk of hospitalization, 93.8% lower, RR 0.06, p = 0.01, treatment 0 of 33 (0.0%), control 2 of 5 (40.0%), continuity correction due to zero event (with reciprocal of the contrasting arm).
risk of viral+ at day 14, 95.8% lower, RR 0.04, p = 0.001, treatment 0 of 33 (0.0%), control 3 of 5 (60.0%), continuity correction due to zero event (with reciprocal of the contrasting arm).

Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. For an individual study the most serious outcome may have a smaller number of events and lower statistical signficance, however this provides the strongest evidence for the most serious outcomes when combining the results of many trials.
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